BREXIT IS UNDER THREAT


11/06/2017




İlknur Şebnem Öztemel-TDO- 11.06.2017-  Results of British Parliamentary Elections led concerns in Europe. Officers hesitate that a hung government slow down the upcoming Brexit process.

According to formal results, Conservative Party leaded by current PM Theresa May   won 314 chairs, far from reaching the majority of 326. On the other hand, Labour Party in the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn increased its votes and got 266 chairs.

According to rules, leader of the party which has the most seats. So, May has first pick at forming a government and will go to Buckingham Palace to ask Queen Elizabeth II for permission to form one.

She could try and form an alliance with the Democratic Unionist Party of Northern Ireland but in that case terms of agreement will be crucial. Also, if she fails to gain majority backing for her government, her government will fail. 

May called the snap election to increase the number of her party’s MP’s just 17 to give her a mandate to go to Brussels and argue Brexit. Now, she is failed and defamed herself and her party.

In case of May’s failure to form a government, Corbyn will become the prime minister and form the new government. Possibly, he will the Scottish Nationalist Party to cooperate and establish a government.

It is significant to remind that personally Corbyn is a Eurosceptic and supports the divorce with EU in spite of the party policy. May was in favour of staying in the union. He even went on holiday during the referendum campaign. Moreover, his most significant candidate party of Scots defends necessity of a new independence referendum and unity in Europe. Naturally, it would put Corbyn in a difficult position.

European leaders fear Prime Minister Theresa May's loss in the snap election will delay Brexit talks about to start this month and raise the risk of negotiations to fail.

Guenther Oettinger, the German member of the European Commission, said it was unclear negotiations could be launched on June 19, as planned, while a weak British government raised the risk that talks could fail to reach the kind of deal that can limit disruption when Britain leaves in March 2019. He told to the Deutchlandfunk radio “We need a government that can act’’. He added ‘’With a weak negotiating partner, there's the danger than the negotiations will turn out badly for both sides ... I expect more uncertainty now".

European leaders have largely given up considering the possibility that Britain might change its mind and ask to stay. Most now appear to prefer that the bloc's second-biggest economy leave smoothly and quickly. Brits hope to have a special economic condition in its relations with EU like Norway or Switzerland. Nevertheless, other 27 states would quite possibly be willing to do it if Britain continue to pay into the EU budget and obey EU rules, including on free migration across the bloc, while no longer having any say in how the Union's policies are set. EU officials question how any British government could persuade voters to accept a Norway-style package.


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